Bekmakhanova N. E. and N. B. Narbaev

Eurasian Economic and State Cycles and Their Influence on the History of Altaic and Non-Altaic Peoples

50^th Annual Meeting of the PIAC, Kazan 2007

The History of the State agglomerations on the Eurasian territory of last centuries allows to conclude on Eurasian economic and state cycles. These cycles study needs to leave some well-known stereotypes that are used to describe the State agglomerations in Eurasia. Instead of forma it is more useful to concentrate our attention on the essence of the State agglomerations process and its influence on the History of the Altaic and non-Altaic peoples there.

The Russian scientists’ conception is based on the historical multi-lineal development theory of D. B. Viko and J. G. Herder in the West and N. I. Danilevsky and K. N. Leontiev in Russia. It appeared together with O. Spengler “Europe’s sunset”.

The Russian researchers outlined some certain economic and State cycles on the Russian territory last 2000 years. It includes two periods of centrifugal and centripetal process. It is a two-phase model. The first phase is an agglomeration. The second one is an disintegration. 2000 years ago both the phases were protracted in time and they lasted centuries. As they got closer to the 20^th century the disintegration periods were shorter than agglomerations limits.

All State formation process on the territory of Russia can be divided into five periods. Each period can be divided into two stages: 1) united State formation, 2) several States system formation.

1. st period: 1) united State — Scythian power, 2) States system — Sarmates’s, Goths’s, Sacs’s;
2. nd period: 1) united State — Hun power, 2) States system — Avars’, Khazars’, Kama Bulgars’, Eastern Slavs’, Pechenegs’, Polovtsys’;
3. rd period: 1) united State — Mongol Empire, 2) States system — the first stage: Mongol Empire disintegration into Golden Horde, Jagatay, Persia, China, the second stage — Lithuania, Russia, Kazakhs Hordes, Central Asian States, Oirats and Mongol States;
4. th period: 1) united State — Russian Empire, 2) States system — Independent Republics in 1917–1920s, Poland, Finland, Baltic States,
5. th period: 1) united State — USSR, 2) States system — CIS and Baltic States.

After the 5^th period there has to be a sixth one as an agglomeration process. But its economic, cultural and politic frame is still vague.

Now we are witness of its formation. But as a natural process it faces a counteraction of the international financial and industrial capital that is interested in an disintegrated State that was united some time ago. This disintegration favours a freer access to its natural and manpower resources. Using them the developed States hope to solve a problem of their lasting systematic crisis that is connected with a transition from the industrial to the post industrial phase.